【雙魚之論】
Mark Carney’s 2026 Davos address is less an economic manifesto than a
strategic report on Canada’s new geopolitical positioning. Under the looming
shadow of "Trumpism" over North America, Carney is attempting to cast
Canada as the vanguard of a "Middle-Power Coalition." Coming
immediately after his visit to China from January 14–17, his speech on January
20 is, by all diplomatic conventions, clearly the product of "Strategic Alignment" with Beijing.
The most
incisive entry point into this speech lies in its "class struggle"
rhetoric. Carney’s fierce critique of great powers weaponizing economic integration
and supply chains echoes the defiant logic that the powerful do as they will,
and the weak suffer what they must. But must the powerful always act without
restraint, and must the weak inevitably suffer? Furthermore, he cunningly
employs a universal proposition—arguing that the notion of the international
rules-based system being entirely just and reasonable is "incorrect."
This serves as a veiled indictment of "a certain hegemon," yet fails
to acknowledge the historical fact that international law is not the dictate of
any single nation. Rather, it is the collective achievement of centuries of
participation, conflict, compromise, and consent by countless states.
Tellingly, Carney’s dual stance—critiquing
the system’s justice while adopting a "might-is-right" cynicism—is not a Western tradition; Rather, it is the
fundamental ideological position of the Chinese Communist Party.
It is jarring to hear such "anti-hegemonic," Beijing-style class
rhetoric from a man who was once the "sentinel of global finance."
This discourse precisely masks his silence regarding China’s own expansionist
behavior, choosing instead to pivot his spearhead toward Canada’s southern neighbor.
While Carney is clearly determined to forge a path divergent from the past, he
now faces a profound rupture between "identity and reality." He must
champion capital markets while simultaneously pushing progressive,
interventionist policies; he calls for unity on the international stage while
facing a fierce conservative backlash at home. Though his roadmap is logically
self-consistent, if he cannot master the long shadow cast by China and address
the acute domestic anxieties over livelihoods, this brilliant rhetoric will
likely meet the fate of a "castle in the air."
卡尼在 2026 年達佛斯的如下演講，與其說是經濟宣言，不如說是他為建立加拿大新地緣政治定位的報告——卡尼在「川普主義」籠罩北美的陰影下試圖將加拿大塑造成「中等強國聯盟」的領銜者。在2月14-17日訪問中國後立即轉往瑞士隨及於1月20日發表如下演說，按照外交慣例，演講內容顯然是與北京進行「戰略調和」後的產物。
這場演講最精確的切入點在於其「階級鬥爭」的語境。卡尼猛烈批評強權將經濟整合與供應鏈工具化，呼應了「強者為所欲為，弱者受苦受難」的抗爭邏輯——強者一定為所欲為，弱者一定受苦受難？此外，其狡猾的以全稱命題主張「國際規則體系是完全公正合理的觀點是不正確的」暗中指責「一個霸權」，卻未正視歷史事實：國際法不是那一個國家制訂，而是在幾百年時間中由無數個國家所參與、衝突、妥協與同意的集體成果。而這兩態度都不是西方的，反而是中共的基本立場。
令人驚訝的是，上述具有「反霸權、類階級」北京色彩的詞彙，竟然出自這位曾經的「全球金融守門人」。這種論述精準地掩蓋了其對中國擴張行為的沉默，轉而將矛頭對準南方的鄰居。
卡尼確實鐵了心要走出一條不同於以往的路，但他正面臨「身份與現實」的雙重撕裂：他必須在擁護資本市場的同時，推動帶有進步色彩的干預政策；他在國際上呼籲團結，但在國內卻必須面對保守主義的強烈反彈。其路徑藍圖雖然邏輯自洽，但若無法妥善處理中國的巨大陰影與國內的民生焦慮，這套精彩的論述恐怕難逃「空中樓閣」的命運。
Davos
2026: Special address by Mark Carney, Prime Minister of Canada
加拿大總理卡尼達沃斯論壇演講 Taimocracy 20260215
Principled and Pragmatic: Canada's
Path 原則與務實：加拿大的道路
「當地時間2026年1月20日，瑞士達沃斯，2026年世界經濟論壇年會，加拿大總理馬克·卡尼特別致詞。」這篇文章包含了加拿大總理馬克·卡尼在達沃斯世界經濟論壇 2026 年年會上的特別演講的完整文字記錄。卡尼強調了基於規則的國際秩序的終結，並闡述了加拿大如何透過建立戰略自主性同時維護諸如人權和主權等價值觀來做出調整。加拿大總理呼籲像他自己這樣的中等強國攜手合作，以對抗硬實力的崛起和大國之間的競爭，從而建構一個更加合作、更具韌性的世界。
「非常感謝你，拉里。我先用法語開始講，然後會再切換回英語。」
（以下內容是根據法語翻譯的）
「謝謝你，拉里。今晚能與您相聚在這個對加拿大乃至整個世界都至關重要的時刻，我感到既榮幸又感到責任重大。
今天我要談論的是世界秩序的一次破裂，一種美好幻想的終結，以及一個嚴酷現實的開端。在這個世界裡，地緣政治，那些強大的主導力量，地緣政治不再受到任何限制和約束。
另一方面，我想告訴您，其他國家，尤其是像加拿大這樣的中等強國，並非無能為力。它們有能力建構一個涵蓋我們這些價值觀的新秩序，比如尊重人權、可持續發展、團結、各國的主權和領土完整等。
無權者的力量源於誠實。The power of the less power starts with
honesty.」
[卡尼再次開始用英語發言]
「似乎每天我們都會被提醒：我們生活在一個大國之間激烈競爭的時代，基於規則的秩序正在瓦解，強者可以為所欲為，而無權者只能承受他們所必須承受的一切。
