【縛雞之論】英文拷到 G / D 找中文翻譯
"Because conducted in
concealed, secret diplomacy is not binding on any third parties in the
international community or any stateman within the country. In extreme cases,
it may even be non-binding for the parties involved. In other words, secret
diplomacy is very unstable.
In my writing, after briefly reviewing the history, my impression is that
throughout the decade between approximately 1960 and 1970, the United States
and Chiang Kai-shek were negotiating the "preliminary issue of
normalization of U.S.-China relations," including the United Nations seat
and the qualification for the Security Council, but without involving the issue
of Taiwan's status. Even if it ultimately led to the establishment of
diplomatic relations between the United States and China, during this period,
the issue of Taiwan's status was only tentatively mentioned, and there was no
commitment to change its status. The Nixon guarantee was deceiving Chiang
Kai-shek on the surface, but in a deeper sense, it was keeping the promise
without changing Taiwan's status. They used language to mislead Chiang Kai-shek
to create unrealistic expectations.
The most critical point in this article is that "the United States will
retain its military presence in Taiwan until a peaceful resolution of
cross-strait relations is reached." The "August 17 Communique"
of 1982 appeared to stop arms sales, but the "Taiwan Relations Act"
kept the promise.
In this regard, Carter's reckless normalization with the PRC was
despicable!"
秘密外交,因為是秘密進行,外界無從得知,因此,對第三國或本國國內任何人都無約束力。極端的說,甚至於對當事人也無約束力。換言之,秘密外交很不穩定。
在我的寫作中,簡讀了這段歷史,得到的印象是:在整個10年當中,即約1960~1970之間,都在美蔣折衝「美中正常化的前置議題」,即包括聯合國席位、安理會資格、但並未牽涉到台灣地位的問題,即便最後是歸結到美中建交。更精確的說,期間有稍微提及台灣地位問題,但是都是試探性的嘗試—重點是並未有任何改變台灣地位的承諾。而尼克森的保證,從表面上看,是欺騙蔣介石,在更深一層看,在未改變台灣地位的背景下,也是守住承諾的,他們用的是語言技巧,讓蔣介石誤解而有不切實際的期待。
本文很重要的顯示是「美國將保留在台灣的軍事力量,直到兩岸關係出現和平解決的時候。」1982年的〈八一七公報〉似乎在停止軍售,但〈台灣關係法〉又守住承諾。
在這方面,卡特莽撞的和中共建交,真的是混蛋!
州長與委員長
譚慎格 20230319
我並不想暗示目前拜登政府和習近平政權之間,可能有什麼秘密承諾。我只是想提醒讀者,秘密諒解和私下保證是對美國外交原則的詛咒。
威爾遜(Woodrow Wilson)總統提出的「十四點和平原則」(Fourteen Points),要求「公開和平條約,以公開的方式締結,外交必須始終在眾目睽睽之下坦誠進行。」