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2026-02-12

中國間諜行動的法律架構 The Legal Framework of Chinese Espionage Operations

中國間諜行動的法律架構

中國共產黨動員整個社會體系,以支援其全球間諜行動。例如,中國所有政府部門在國家安全部要求下,皆有義務配合其情報行動。這一簡單的政策,使中國情報系統能夠有效動用大學、智庫、外交部門、官方資助的海外教育項目、軍事交流計畫、友好與公民團體、留學生協會等,進而接觸到大量外國政府官員、科學家、學者與學生。

除了動用政府體系,中共更藉由立法,塑造法律架構,使其情報機構能夠正當徵用民間產業,以接觸外國個人、機密與技術。例如,近年中共頒布多項法律,明確規定企業與個人有義務配合國家情報工作。2014年、2015年與2017 年,全國人大與國務院陸續通過法規,要求中國公民與企業(無論在國內或國外)必須協助情報蒐集。

2014 年《反間諜法》第22規定,當國安機關進行反間諜調查時,「有關機關、組織和個人」必須「如實提供有關資料,不得拒絕」

按照法律,所有中國人有義務成為國家間諜或士兵

 

概述〈外國戰士在台灣抵抗情境中的角色〉The Role of Foreign Fighters in a Taiwan Resistance Scenario

Grok:外國戰士在台灣抵抗情境中的角色

【雙魚之論】
The core concept of this article stems from a key statement by the author: “Even if the primary objective remains deterring an invasion, preparing for resistance (including foreign fighters) remains an essential component of ‘whole-of-society readiness.’” This aligns closely with the principle in U.S. national security strategy: prioritize deterrence first; if deterrence fails, prevail in conflict—with no other options.

美研究員籲重視斬首威脅 台灣正副元首避免同地停留 中央社 20260212

【雙魚之論】
https://www.facebook.com/reel/914169551306125

 

美研究員籲重視斬首威脅 台灣正副元首避免同地停留    中央社 20260212

中共對台混合戰開打,美國研究員簡淑賢今天強調「政府延續」的概念,她以美國國情咨文為例,指官員都會出席,但刻意留下一位內閣成員,以降低風險台灣也需重視斬首行動的威脅,正、副元首不應同時出現在同地點

2026-02-11

當戰爭早已開始:軍事威懾與制度滲透的雙軌布局 When the War Has Already Begun: A Dual-Track Strategy of Military Deterrence and Institutional Penetration

【雙魚之論】
The article argues that the intense actions observed at the outset of the PLA exercises late last year were not accidental “misfires,” but rather what the author describes as a deliberately designed “tactical prelude.” In other words, these were not the result of misjudgment at lower levels, but intentional directives from the top—“the order from above was precisely to create sparks.”

HR2882 - 2024 年進一步綜合撥款法案 第7031條

HR2882 - 2024 年進一步綜合撥款法案

財政管理、預算透明及反貪腐

7031

a)對政府對政府直接援助之限制。
(1)
要件。本法所撥付之經費,僅於符合下列條件時,始得用於政府對政府之直接援助:
(A)
2019年國務院、對外行動及相關計畫撥款法》(公共法第116–6號,F分編)第7031(a)(1)(A)(E)款所列要件已完全符合;且
(B)
受援國政府正採取措施以減少貪腐。

帛琉參議院議長和馬紹爾群島前市長因涉嫌重大貪腐被列入制裁名單 國務院新聞稿 20260210

帛琉參議院議長和馬紹爾群島前市長因涉嫌重大貪腐被列入制裁名單    國務院新聞稿 20260210

美國國務院公開將帛琉參議院議長霍孔斯·鮑勒斯列入制裁名單,原因是其代表中國勢力參與了重大腐敗活動。此外,國務院還公開將馬紹爾群島共和國基利/比基尼/埃吉特社區前市長安德森·吉巴斯列入制裁名單,原因是其在任期間參與了重大腐敗活動並挪用了美國提供的資金。上述制裁措施將導致鮑勒斯、吉巴斯及其直系親屬普遍喪失入境美國的資格

鮑勒斯濫用公職,收受賄賂,為來自中國的政府、企業和犯罪集團提供宣傳和支持。他的行為構成嚴重腐敗,嚴重損害了美國在帛琉的利益

吉巴斯濫用職權,策劃並從中牟利,策劃了多起挪用公款的案件,包括盜竊、濫用和挪用美國提供的比基尼島安置信託基金。這些資金大部分被盜,而這些資金原本屬於基利/比基尼/埃吉特人,他們是上世紀四五十年代核彈試驗的倖存者及其後代。這些盜竊、濫用和挪用美國提供的資金不僅浪費了美國納稅人的錢,還導致基利/比基尼/埃吉特人失業、糧食短缺、移民美國,以及缺乏可靠的電力供應。吉巴斯的腐敗行為缺乏問責,嚴重損害了民眾對馬紹爾群島政府的信任,也為中國和其他國家施加惡意影響提供了可乘之機

美國將繼續追究濫用公權力謀取私利、竊取公民財產以中飽私囊者的責任。這些認定重申了美國打擊影響美國利益的全球腐敗的決心。

這些公開的指定是根據《2024年國務院、對外行動及相關項目撥款法案》(F部分,PL 118-47)作出的,該法案由《2026年持續撥款法案》(A部分,PL 119-37)延續執行(7031(c))。第7031(c)條要求國務卿公開或私下指定國務卿掌握可靠資訊,表明其參與重大腐敗或嚴重侵犯人權行為的外國官員及其直系親屬。

Grok 簡述〈台灣保護法〉

簡述台灣保護法

Grok《台灣保護法》通常指的是美國國會最近(20262)通過的一項法案,全名為PROTECT Taiwan Act,中文常被翻譯為《保護台灣法案》或《台灣保護法案》。

它的正式英文全稱是:Pressure Regulatory Organizations To End Chinese Threats to Taiwan Act(施壓監管組織終結中國對台灣威脅法案)。

目前進度(截至2026211日)

2026-02-10

高市早苗:勝選演說全文——日本再興的誓言

【高市早苗:勝選演說全文——日本再興的誓言】

「國民的各位,真的非常感謝。」

「在今晚這場漫長且激烈的選戰中,在這場決定日本國運的『決定未來之戰』中,國民的各位,做出了無比沈重且崇高的判斷。你們不僅是選擇了一個政黨,更是選擇了日本與日本人的尊嚴

蔡正元嗆中國絕不敢對台灣動武 周錫瑋當場氣炸怒槓 三立 20260209

【雙魚之論】
這段期間,政治人物的立場轉變(或現形)令人瞠目結舌。周錫瑋是最令人驚訝的,高金素梅早早隱身避風頭,翁曉鈴、傅錕萁等也是。

蔡正元嗆中國絕不敢對台灣動武 周錫瑋當場氣炸怒槓    三立 20260209

前國民黨立委蔡正元7日在節目上稱,中國大陸沒能力解決台灣問題,對於總統賴清德頻稱兩國互不隸屬也不敢怎麼樣,就是因為沒實力,只敢在93大閱兵把軍隊秀給大家看;這讓同場的前台北縣長周錫瑋不滿,批評蔡正元是錯誤判斷,甚至要跟蔡對賭中國敢不敢動武,場面相當火爆。

以身分對抗台灣:高金素梅與陳玉珍的忠誠選擇 Weaponizing Identity Against Taiwan: The Loyalty Choices of Kao-Chin Su-mei and Chen Yu-jen

【雙魚之論】
On allegations of misusing legislative assistant funds and the possible receipt of financial support from China, the residence of Indigenous legislator Kao-Chin Su-mei(高金素梅)—formerly affiliated with the Kuomintang and now an independent—has already been searched, and her office at the Legislative Yuan is expected to be searched as well. The first figure to publicly disclose the search and step forward to voice support for Kao was Lo Chih-chiang (羅智強)—a close associate of Ma Ying-jeou, whose political stance is also widely regarded as pro-China.

2026-02-09

平行時空下的地緣政治:日本的轉向與香港的祭旗 A Tale of Two Worlds: Japan’s New Era vs. Hong Kong’s Political Purge

【雙魚之論】
Just as Japan moves toward becoming a "normal state" amidst a political tectonic shift, Hong Kong—now in total lockstep with Beijing—has handed Jimmy Lai a 20-year prison sentence. This timing is no coincidence. It is a calculated move: Beijing is once again practicing "hostage diplomacy," creating diplomatic leverage out of thin air while signaling its defiance toward Japan’s pivot to a more robust defense posture.

日本新時代:高市一舉告別「老男政治」與戰後體制 Japan’s Tectonic Shift: Sweeping Out the "Old Boys" and the Post-War Legacy



【雙魚之論】
The results of Japan’s House of Representatives election have been unveiled. The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) alone secured 316 seats—surpassing the two-thirds constitutional amendment threshold (310 out of 465 seats)—while the ruling coalition achieved a supermajority of over three-quarters. This historic victory signals a tectonic shift in Japanese society and politics: the formal end of the traditional political model dominated by "old boys." Moving forward, Japanese politics will be driven by gender equality, youth, vitality, and professionalism.

2026-02-08

沒有2026選舉,並非危言聳聽 No Election in 2026 Is Not a Far-Fetched Scenario

【雙魚之論】
The Chinese Communist Party first used Taiwan People’s Party chairman Huang Kuo-chang(黃國昌) and Kuomintang vice chairman Hsiao Hsu-tsen(蕭旭岑) to verbally attack the United States, accusing it of interfering in domestic affairs. After that, Beijing itself openly intervened in Taiwan’s elections. This is an extremely crude and rather bizarre operation.
I have long believed that rejecting key personnel appointments in order to paralyze the functioning of constitutional institutions already has clear precedents—namely the NCC and the Constitutional Court—both cases involving the presence of Weng Hsiao-ling. Therefore, using the same tactic to paralyze the Central Election Commission by refusing to approve its appointments is entirely plausible. Under the worst-case scenario, there may simply be no elections at all in 2026. This possibility has already been openly mentioned by figures such as KMT chairwoman Cheng Li-wen(鄭麗文) and KMT legislator Chen Yu-jen(陳玉珍) from Kinmen.
Precisely because elections could be rendered impossible, the Blue and White camps are willing to ignore public opinion and the will of their constituencies, making an all-or-nothing gamble based solely on Beijing’s position. This is the only explanation that makes sense..

中共先透過民眾黨主席黃國昌、國民黨副主席蕭旭岑咒罵美國,指責美國介入內政之後,自己再公然介入選舉。這是很粗糙、很奇怪的操作。
我一直認為,否決人事而癱瘓憲政機關運作,已經有NCC與憲法法庭作為前例,都有翁曉鈴的身影。因此,透過拒絕中選會人事,癱瘓中選會也必然是可能的。因此,最壞的情況是2026年根本沒有選舉,這也是國民黨主席鄭麗文、國民黨金門立委陳玉珍等人說過的話。也由於無法舉行選舉,因此,藍白才會無視社會與選區的意見以北京立場為念的孤注一擲。這是唯一的合理解釋。

中國「對台工作會議」9日開幕 將成立因應台灣地方選舉專組等四大重點    自由 20260208

中國明天起將舉行「對台工作會議」,來自北京的消息指出,會中將正式成立因應台灣地方選舉的工作專組,聲稱將「結合統戰、網路空間多重力量,重創島內台獨勢力」,擺明直接介入台灣十一月的「九合一」大選。

活體器官產業鏈 中國青少年失蹤案件正以驚人速度攀升 The young are missing for organ harvest in China

【雙魚之論】
The targets of China’s organ harvesting have expanded rapidly—from death-row inmates to Falun Gong practitioners and Xinjiang Uyghurs, and now reportedly even to domestic youth. What initially was framed as organ transplantation to treat illness and prolong life has increasingly shifted toward the pursuit of so-called “immortality.” There are now also rumors that biological research centers have been established in Cambodia, where stem cells are extracted from infants and used as anti-aging or rejuvenation treatments.  And there are many elder KMT and TPP leaders promote us to be Citizens of China.

中國的活摘器官對象,已經從死刑犯,快速成長到法輪功成員、新疆維吾爾族,一直擴展到本土的青少年原先是治病延壽,現在則是要永生。現在還傳聞在柬埔寨建立生物研究中心,從嬰兒提取幹細胞等,作為回春藥之用。結果,還有一堆中老年藍白政客要我們當中國人。

天眼系統也沒用?中國11天失蹤百人 學者曝「人體零件」產業鏈真相    三立 20260206

中國醫療黑幕連環爆!一名湖北女子指控黃石市精神病院非法關押正常人以騙取國家補貼;同時,民間尋人啟事激增,全境2億監視器竟難尋失蹤兒。學者明居正更引述錄音證詞,踢爆醫療體系內驚人的「活體器官拆解」產業鏈,揭露受害者年齡下探3,引發社會極度恐慌。

中華民國首艘自製潛艦「海鯤軍艦」淺水潛航測試紀錄(2026/01/29-02/06)

 

2026-02-07

美國參議院外交委員會(對立法院藍白)的聲明

【雙魚之論】
稍早是參議院軍事委員會主席Roger Wicker:不保衛台灣,美國將永久損害在印太地區的地位,現在是參議院外交委員會。已經從AIT上升到聯邦(國會),這個警告已經是最後了。國民黨內已經有人理解了,但權力掌握在紅色前鋒隊的成員手中,等到白宮要出面,那就會是最致命的精準打擊。

 

Shaheen, Risch Statement on Taiwan’s Special Defense Budget and Partnership with the United States 夏馨、李施關於台灣特別國防預算及與美國夥伴關係的聲明

WASHINGTON – Today, U.S. Senators Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) and Jim Risch (R-ID), Ranking Member and Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, released the statement below regarding Taiwan’s defense spending and partnership with the United States.
華盛頓今日,美國參議院外交關係委員會首席成員、新罕布夏州民主黨參議員珍妮·夏馨(Jeanne Shaheen)和主席、愛達荷州共和黨參議員吉姆·李施(Jim Risch就台灣的國防開支和與美國的伙伴關係發表了以下聲明:

黃國昌、蕭旭岑與中共官宣批評谷立言時序表



北京透過中國移民正扭轉澳洲國安戰略 Beijing's Political Influence via Immigration Is Altering Australia’s National Security Strategy

【雙魚之論】
解放軍海軍穿越菲律賓群島 PLA Navy vessels transit the Philippines archipelago

As stated earlier: does the Chinese Communist Party need Australia? The answer is unequivocally yes. Beyond acquiring Australia’s mineral resources and land, control over or influence within Australia would allow China to project northward toward Hawaii, thereby constraining the deployment and maneuverability of U.S. Indo-Pacific naval and air forces. Chinese migrants who have settled in and naturalized as Australian citizens can exert significant influence toward this objective through their voting power and economic leverage.
During the Pacific War, Australia committed itself fully to the defense of its homeland and fought alongside its allies against Japan. Today, however, despite having secured a position within the AUKUS alliance and gaining access to nuclear-powered, conventionally armed submarines, Australia has reversed course and shown reluctance to shoulder global defense responsibilities—an outcome that can only be explained by the influence of Chinese immigrant penetration into Australia’s political establishment.
The United States has now begun to sense that Australia, one of the Five Eyes allies, after briefly returning to a clear strategic alignment following a period of wavering, is once again drifting strategically. This time, Australia has gone so far as to disregard its own national security threats and openly express unwillingness to contain China’s expansion into the South Pacific. Even after the United States and other allied nations moved to compensate for Australian losses by absorbing its mineral and agricultural exports, Canberra’s stance has remained inconsistent. If this cannot be attributed to the substantial influence of Chinese migrants on Australia’s domestic politics and electoral processes, then there is simply no plausible explanation.

前文說道:中共需要澳洲嗎?答案是肯定的。除了取得澳洲的礦產與土地之外,就是可以往北與夏威夷對峙,牽制美國印太海空軍的調度。移居與歸化澳洲的中國人透過選票與經濟力在此任務上會發揮強大影響力。
太平洋戰爭時澳洲傾全力捍衛本土也參與盟友對日作戰,現在澳洲取得AUKUS聯盟地位與核動力傳統潛艦,卻反悔不願意負擔全球防衛義務,必然是中國移民滲透澳洲政界所發揮的影響力。
而現在美國已經感受到這五眼聯盟之一的盟友澳洲,在立場游移後歸隊不久,又開始戰略飄移,這次是完全不顧自身的國安威脅,直接表達不願意遏制中國對南太平洋的擴張。在美國等友盟國家補足澳洲礦產與農產品市場之後仍然反覆無常,若說不是大量中國移民對澳洲內政與選舉的影響,就毫無理由可言了。

澳洲拒承諾協防台海!美國會報告拋震撼彈 擬拒賣核潛艦    自由 20260205

2026-02-06

解放軍海軍穿越菲律賓群島 PLA Navy vessels transit the Philippines archipelago


【雙魚之論】
Some four or five years ago, when I was writing an article examining the Chinese Communist Party’s expansion into the South Pacific, I pointed out that Beijing has two primary routes to achieve this objective. The northern route passes through the Bashi Channel, follows the northern edge of the Nanyang island chains, and leads directly to Australia. The southern route runs through the waters south of Palawan, across the Sulu Sea—precisely the key area discussed in this report. Both routes provide direct access to the northern maritime approaches of Australia.
Does the CCP need Australia? The answer is unequivocally yes. Beyond gaining access to Australia’s mineral resources and land, controlling or heavily influencing Australia would enable China to confront the United States northward toward Hawaii, thereby constraining the deployment and maneuverability of U.S. Indo-Pacific naval and air forces. Chinese migrants who have relocated to and naturalized in Australia can exert powerful influence toward this objective through electoral leverage and economic power. During the Pacific War, Australia committed itself fully to the defense of its homeland and to fighting alongside its allies against Japan. Today, however, despite attaining a central position in the AUKUS partnership and acquiring nuclear-powered, conventionally armed submarines, Australia has shown signs of retreating from its willingness to shoulder global defense responsibilities. This shift can only be understood as the result of the influence exerted by Chinese immigrant penetration into Australia’s political establishment.
This report, titled “The Philippine Navy Plans to Establish a Monitoring Station at Tubbataha Reef,” indicates that the Philippines has at least recognized the problem of territorial waters being intruded upon and subjected to hydrographic surveying. Should the Philippines cease to remain vigilant, the CCP’s next step would be to seize key Philippine islands or maritime areas through sheer force, followed by the construction of dual-use civilian and military naval and air facilities—exactly as it has done in the South China Sea. Mindanao and its surrounding areas would be the first to bear the brunt of such actions.

45年前在撰寫文章探討中共對南太平洋的擴張時就指出,中共有南北兩條路徑來達成此任務北部路徑經由巴士海峽,沿著南洋群島北側直達澳洲。南部路徑是由巴拉望島南方水道經蘇祿海,也就是本報導的關鍵地區。兩者直達澳洲北部海域。
中共需要澳洲嗎?答案是肯定的。除了取得澳洲的礦產與土地之外,就是可以往北與夏威夷對峙,牽制美國印太海空軍的調度。移居與歸化澳洲的中國人透過選票與經濟力在此任務上會發揮強大影響力。太平洋戰爭時澳洲傾全力捍衛本土也參與盟友對日作戰,現在澳洲取得AUKUS聯盟地位與核動力傳統潛艦,卻反悔不願意負擔全球防衛義務,必然是中國移民滲透澳洲政界所發揮的影響力。
本則報導「菲海軍擬於杜巴塔哈礁設監測站」表示至少菲律賓注意到領海被入侵與被水文測量的問題。假使菲律賓不再注意,中共下一步就是以實力取得菲律賓的重要島嶼或海域,並建設軍民海空軍設施,一如其在南海所為一樣明答那峨與附近首當其衝

Navy eyeing Tubbataha Reefs Natural Park monitoring station

 

中國軍艦曾通過 菲海軍擬於杜巴塔哈礁設監測站強化安全    自由 20260206

菲律賓海軍計畫在聯合國教科文組織(UNESCO)世界遺產、靠近南海的「杜巴塔哈礁自然公園」(Tubbataha Reefs Natural Park設立監測站,以加強蘇祿海(Sulu Sea)關鍵海域的環境保護與海事安全。中國研究船和海軍軍艦通過蘇祿海,最近一次是在20252