日本新時代：高市一舉告別「老男政治」與戰後體制 Japan’s Tectonic Shift: Sweeping Out the "Old Boys" and the Post-War Legacy

【雙魚之論】
The results of Japan’s House of Representatives election have been unveiled. The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) alone secured 316 seats—surpassing the two-thirds constitutional amendment threshold (310 out of 465 seats)—while the ruling coalition achieved a supermajority of over three-quarters. This historic victory signals a tectonic shift in Japanese society and politics: the formal end of the traditional political model dominated by "old boys." Moving forward, Japanese politics will be driven by gender equality, youth, vitality, and professionalism.

Many veterans who failed to recognize the changing times lost their seats, with former Deputy Prime Minister Katsuya Okada being a prime example. Ignoring the broad social trend of resisting Chinese expansion, Okada engaged in "obstructive" questioning of Sanae Takaichi in the Diet. He characterized established defense policies—such as those addressing "threats to Japan’s survival" and "fundamental subversion of citizens' rights"—as having "ambiguous concepts." By demanding that Takaichi withdraw her remarks after the session, he effectively confirmed that his pro-China stance was no mere fabrication.
Following his defeat, Okada avoided the core issues by blaming the "Takaichi Whirlwind," yet he dared not face the public will driving that momentum. As for the so-called "internet rumors," they not only stemmed from his own controversial pro-China rhetoric and his alienation from modern communication channels but also from his refusal to acknowledge the CCP’s role as a global architect of online influence (the "telling China’s story well" narrative). Similarly, Hiroshi Ogushi, who adopted a pro-China position to challenge Takaichi, also failed to win re-election.
This marks the beginning of a new political era in Japan, driven by social structural changes that are sweeping away "old-boy dominance." Japan is poised to stand tall against China and once and for all bid farewell to the psychological "war debt" of the post-war era. As Beijing’s customary "scolding diplomacy" loses its efficacy, and as Japan moves toward becoming a "normal state" with constitutional defense powers, how will Beijing respond?

日本眾議院大選結果揭曉，自民黨單獨獲得過修憲門檻的 316 席（全體 465 席，2/3 為 310 席），執政聯盟更取得超過四分之三的絕對多數。這場歷史性勝利，象徵著日本社會與政治發生了地殼變動——由「老派男性」主導的傳統政治模式，正式宣告終結。未來日本政治將以性別平等、年輕、活力、專業主導。
許多未能察覺時勢轉變的老將紛紛落選，曾任副總理的岡田克也即是典型。他無視日本社會對抗中國擴張的大趨勢，在國會對高市早苗進行「扯後腿式」的質詢，質疑「日本存立受到威脅」、「國民基本權利從根本上被顛覆」等國防既定政策「概念曖昧」。質詢後他甚至要求高市撤回言論，此舉無異於坐實其親中立場並非虛構。
敗選後，岡田避重就輕地歸咎於「高市旋風」，卻不敢正視旋風背後的民意所向。至於其所謂的「網路謠言」，不僅源於其在國會質詢時的親中爭議言行、自決於新時代的溝通管道，更無視中共作為全球網路輿論操作（講好中國故事）推手的角色。同樣採取親中立場、質疑高市的大串博志，亦未能當選。
這標誌著日本進入一個由社會結構驅動、全面掃除「老男主導」的政治新局。日本將更挺直腰桿地面對中國，並徹底揮別戰後的「戰爭負債」心理。當中國慣用的「斥責外交」失效，甚至必須面對一個獲准修憲、邁向擁有國防權力的「正常國家」時，北京將如何應對？
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質詢「台灣有事」掀波瀾 岡田克也敗選、歸咎於網路與「高市旋風」    自由 20260209

日本自民黨在8日的眾議院大選中大獲全勝，首相高市早苗發動的「冬季奇襲」奏效，截至9日上午7點，自民黨已獲得316席，單獨取得三分之二席次。值得關注的是，被視為親中派的「中道改革連合」要角岡田克也在此次大選中落敗，岡田克也在敗選感言中，將落敗原因歸咎於「高市旋風」及「網路謠言」。

綜合日媒報導，現年72歲的岡田克也自1990年從政以來，連續當選12屆眾議員，自1996年改制實施小選舉區制度後，岡田克也更是「10戰全勝」。岡田克也在立憲民主黨執政時期曾擔任副總理一職，並曾擔任立憲民主黨代表與幹事長，是黨內的重量級人物。

岡田克也去年11月7日在眾議院預算委員會質詢高市早苗「台灣有事」相關問題時，高市早苗回應，相關情況「可能構成存亡危機事態」，日本可行使集體自衛權。高市早苗的答詢內容後續被視為牽動中日關係，使得岡田克也在網路上遭受大量批評，後續岡田克也和立憲民主黨也都要求高市早苗撤回發言。

在立憲民主黨及公明黨於今年1月16日組成「中道改革連合」、高市早苗宣布解散眾議院之後，岡田克也代表該黨參選三重縣第3選區，鞏固自身長久以來經營的選區，不過8日的投開票結果卻出乎意料，岡田克也以9萬701票輸給自民黨石原正敬的9萬9392票。

岡田克也9日凌晨在三重縣四日市市發表敗選感言，他強調自身敗因是「高市旋風」以及網路謠言。岡田克也提到，以往即使是自民黨支持者，甚至無黨派選民，也有許多人會投票給他，但這次都被大幅被拉向自民黨。岡田克也指出：「另一個原因是網路。經常看網路的人很多轉向支持自民黨，在經常接觸網路的人之中，我的支持度非常低，網路上出現相當多批評與謠言，我們沒有充分加以應對。」