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2025-04-09

中國別無它法,只能制裁美國


Trump’s strategy is to wage war to win peace, renegotiating a new global political and economic landscape. Under pressure from the United States, the "Heavenly Dynasty" cannot afford to negotiate in a subservient, face-losing manner, as it would blur the hierarchy of tribute and vassalage. This hierarchy is a matter of utmost importance: if the tribute system were to destroyed, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) would collapse accordingly.
Therefore, China has no choice but to respond tit-for-tat (Trump even uses provocative language to goad Xi Jinping, employing a taunting tactic). However, with the "origin laundering" channels now banned, and given that countries are aware "origin laundering" is a taboo for Trump and dare not test his resolve, China’s economy would be doomed.
Thus, in the future, China will likely rush to sell off U.S. Treasury bonds, and the U.S. will surely seize the opportunity to block China from liquidating its debt holdings (these debts are also a result of unfair trade). At that point, the Hong Kong dollar will also become a key observation point.

川普戰略是以戰逼和,重新談判新的全球政經局面。在美國逼壓的情形下,「天朝國」可不能不顧面子低聲下氣去談判,否則會混淆了朝貢尊卑。朝貢尊卑姿茲事體大:若是朝貢被毀了,中共也就垮了。
因此,中國只能以眼還眼,別無選擇(川普還以言語刺激習近平,激將法),但這樣一來,加上「洗產地」管道被禁。各國知道洗產地是川普的禁忌,更不敢攖其鋒,那中國經濟就掛了。
所以,中國未來會搶賣美國國債,美國一定會趁機堵死中國變賣債權(債權也是不公平貿易的結果)。此時,港幣也會是觀察點

 


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