美軍模擬登台防禦中國入侵 Green Berets in Fort Bragg, North Carolina for Taiwan

【雙魚之論】英文拷到 G / D 找中文翻譯
To deter China's invasion of Taiwan from triggering a third world war, several conditions must be met: first, measures must be taken to raise the cost of China's aggression significantly; second, China must be unable to bear the consequences of failing to achieve its objectives; and third, China's leaders must be capable of understanding and predicting these consequences.
To achieve these objectives, a show of alliance and strength, coupled with a direct crackdown on China's theft of Western technologies and finances, is the best approach. The military drill in Fort Bragg, North Carolina, is a show of “let Xi realize,” and the announcement by an officer of the Green Berets in the news report is actually a scenario of the US military occupation, or more precisely US  military re-occupation.
The measures that the United States has taken in recent years are heading in this direction.

要防止中國侵略台灣變成世界大戰，有幾個條件必須滿足：實力上足以使得中國的侵略成本提高、中國無法承受侵略不成的後果、中國的首領能夠理解並具有預判的能力。
為了如此，展現同盟與實力，加上直接隔離中國在科技與財政的竊盜，是最好的辦法。
美國正在做的，就是在這途徑上。

美軍模擬登台防禦中國入侵 美特戰司令：防止第三次世界大戰    自由 20230502

美國軍事網站「Military.com」報導，美國陸軍特種作戰司令部（USASOC）上週舉行年度戰力操演，首度模擬防衛台灣對抗中國入侵；該演習結合全球反恐戰爭使用的特殊戰術、武器與其他工具，反映出特戰司令部在因應與主要軍事對手潛在衝突時的重大變革。

特戰司令部司令布拉加（Jonathan P. Braga）中將在這場年度演習前表示，根據美國國防戰略，中國是真正對美國步步進逼的挑戰，「最終，我們正設法防止第三次世界大戰」。五角大廈「國防戰略」載明，美國「終極後盾」為核武能力。

稱解放軍為敵方 用特殊戰術作戰

據報導，這項演習首次以台灣做為模擬情境，以實體模型代表台灣特定場域，如美國陸軍第一六○航空特戰團契努克式直升機（Chinook）降落在北卡羅來納州布拉格堡六十八號射擊訓練場，特戰隊員發射卡爾古斯塔夫無後座力砲、破壞隧道，操作彈簧刀無人機從一處訓練區上空呼嘯而過，模擬任務是進入台灣以防禦中國入侵。

演習中，特戰司令部更罕見地直接將中國及人民解放軍稱為「敵方」。一名特戰隊「綠扁帽」軍官並向支持其行動的逾百名群眾宣布：上級將交付任務，「執行在台灣島上對抗人民解放軍的作戰行動」。

曾協助訓練烏克蘭美軍 參加演習

部分參與演習的平民扮演夥伴部隊，全副武裝的特種部隊士兵帶領他們完成小隊攻擊，如徒步逼近攻擊敵軍，而曾協助訓練烏克蘭人的美軍也參加演習。

布拉加表示，對抗中國等使用非國家行動者在網路上執行國家任務的「灰色地帶」戰術，如何在不升級為危機或直接衝突的情況下保持競爭力，成為美軍特戰部試圖平衡的微妙賽局。

 

對抗共軍！美軍特戰司令部 首度演練登台作戰    東森 20230502

美國陸軍特種作戰司令部，首度實施以「中共攻台」為模擬情境的軍演，模擬的任務是登陸台灣，協助台灣防禦中國入侵。根據CNN取得的新衛星影像顯示，中國軍方研製的大型飛艇，首次在中國西北部一處基地曝光。

直升機空降著陸，美國陸軍特種部隊舉行演習，以行動證明，如果出現傳統衝突，他們也已經做好準備全力應對。

演練地點位於北卡羅來納州，以「布雷格堡」基地，模擬台灣場景，而美軍特種部隊的任務就是登陸台灣，協助抵禦中國入侵，這是美軍特戰司令部有史以來第一次，在演習中以台海為假想情境。

這次演練結合了美方用於全球反恐的一些戰術和武器，過去主要演練反恐行動的任務，變成演練保衛台灣，凸顯美軍戰略巨大轉變，美軍特戰司令部指揮官表示，中共已是美國當前最大的挑戰，美軍正努力防止第三次世界大戰發生。

CNN國家安全記者：「我們相信從衛星影像看到的是，前所未見的中國軍用飛艇。」

現在美國國防官員正將重心放在遏制中國在印太地區和全球擴張影響力，繼先前的中國間諜氣球闖入美國領空，以及中國無人機出沒台灣領土周圍，現在根據外媒CNN取得的獨家新衛星圖像顯示，中國軍方研製的大型飛艇，首次在中國西北部沙漠1個偏遠基地曝光。

CNN國家安全記者：「美國知道中國一直都有發展間諜氣球，我們在1-2月的時候都有看到，氣球闖入美國領空，但是飛艇的話就比較複雜了。」

一艘大約2.5公尺長的飛艇出現在中國西北部一處沙漠軍事基地的跑道上，專家表示，這些衛星影像是中國間諜氣球，在美國南卡羅來納州外海，被擊落前3個月所拍攝，可能代表著中國飛艇計畫，取得了顯著的進步。

另一方面，中國從5月開始實施新修訂的兵役法令，徵兵工作條例，將允許已退役軍人，可以被重新徵召入伍，確保有經驗兵源，中國一舉一動，都在積極建立軍事實力。

 

Defending a Mock Invasion of Taiwan Signals Shift for Army Special Operations After Years of Counterinsurgency    Military.com 20230429

FORT BRAGG, North Carolina -- Members of the U.S. Army's Special Operations Command fired Carl Gustaf recoilless rifles, breached tunnels and operated Switchblade drones that flew with an unsettling whiz over a training area on Thursday. The exercise combined some of the hallmark tactics and weapons that were used during the Global War on Terror with other tools reflecting a seismic shift for the command as it prepares for potential conflict against major military rivals.

The training was part of the USASOC's annual capabilities exercise, or CAPEX, and the mission they were gaming out was an insertion into Taiwan to defend against a Chinese invasion.

It was the first-ever use of a Taiwan scenario for the exercise, with a concrete mock-up meant to represent that country. So instead of hovering eight thousand miles away in the South China Sea where the island actually is perched, the 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment's Chinooks landed on Range 68 at Fort Bragg.

"The [People's Republic of China], in accordance with our national defense strategy, is our true pacing challenge out there," Lt. Gen. Jonathan P. Braga, commanding general of USASOC, said in a speech ahead of the exercise.

"Ultimately, what we are trying to do is prevent World War III," he said. "That's our job."

The exercise comes as U.S. defense planners are focusing their attention on deterring China's influence in the Indo-Pacific and around the world, part of escalating hostilities that have made headlines when Chinese spy balloons penetrated U.S. airspace and Chinese drones circled the island of Taiwan, for example.

Taiwan Condemns China's 'Combat Readiness Patrols'

While the "ultimate backstop" remains America’s nuclear capabilities, according to the Pentagon's National Defense Strategy, USASOC leaders view it as their mission to prove that they're also ready for conventional conflict if it arises.

The organization pulled no punches in naming China and its military, the People's Liberation Army, or PLA, however as the opposition force during the exercise, an unusually direct move, given the military’s hesitancy to overtly suggest conflict.

"I'm going to receive a brief from my boss giving us a task to conduct an operation to counter the PLA on the island of Taiwan," a Green Beret officer announced to a crowd of more than 100 members of the public, most of whom were from nonprofit or charity organizations that support the special operations community, prior to a demonstrated attack.

Soldiers who participated in the exercise requested that Military.com not use their names to protect their identities ahead of potential future deployments.

Some civilians even got to participate in the exercise, acting as partner forces as the kitted-out Special Forces soldiers walked them through a squad attack, for example, in which troops on foot close in on an enemy.

But before they kicked down doors to meet the hypothetical escalatory advances of the ghost People's Liberation Army, the soldiers participating in the exercise described their work as perfecting the fundamentals of warfare.

"We have to be a lot more prepared and be better at the basic things," one senior civil affairs noncommissioned officer told Military.com. The soldier also left Ukraine in early 2022 after training Ukrainians.

"It's just reinforcing the basics and then putting it in a different perspective, applying it in a different way," they said, specifically referencing how directing displaced people after a crisis has been a staple of their trade since the Global War on Terror, and before.

Soldiers demonstrated their language capabilities, though instead of the Pashto and Dari, they employed intermediate to high levels of Mandarin or Russian. In fact, the language school at USASOC broadly no longer teaches those two languages spoken in Afghanistan, instead offering tests to keep soldiers who already know them fresh, according to one of the instructors. Now, it is looking to offer courses in Ukrainian and Japanese.

NCOs gestured around miniature prison camps, with primitive bamboo bows and fire starters as they offered instruction on evasion from capture tactics. A black uniform with Cyrillic text sat next to these items to demonstrate what instructors might now wear at the military's Survival, Evasion, Resistance, and Escape, or SERE school.

Perhaps the most prevalent theme came from the psychological operations soldiers who preached the information operation game as critical for the Army during a crisis with a near-peer actor. Instead of leaflets and megaphones, they talked of memes and enemy disinformation on a global scale.

"The information environment -- it can seem overwhelming at times -- just the sheer size of it, the amount of information going in and out of it," one senior psychological operations NCO said.

"What's important, what's just white noise?" he added. "How do you navigate all of that, and create order out of chaos, so that you can gain the informational advantage over an enemy that does not operate with the same restrictions and rules that you're going to have to operate under."

A term that came up often was "the gray zone," a euphemism referring to tactics that countries like Russia and China use, for example, working through non-state actors in the cyber realm to carry out state missions. It's a means of flouting international law and creating legal deniability while engaging in low-level war.

Braga said that staying competitive without escalating to a crisis or direct conflict is "a nuanced game of shadows in the gray-zone" -- one that requires a balance that USASOC is trying to maintain.

That nuance has not come without challenges, however, especially when it comes to shedding or pocketing some of the tactics and mindsets so baked into the organization from its intense time fighting the Global War on Terror, a mission that still is ongoing today, though at a much smaller scale than before the withdrawal from Afghanistan nearly two years ago.

"We don't necessarily want to lose it. We need to use the lessons learned from that and tailor it to a different fight against a near-peer competitor in a multi-domain environment, essentially," a Green Beret told Military.com on Thursday.

"And it's difficult because fighting a near-peer requires a lot more preparation that's not really the cool stuff that we've been doing for the last 20 years. I'm telling my guys as a company commander to stop going to the shoot houses and do more preparation tasks, which aren't nearly as cool or fun to do," he said.

"So there's some growing pains there, but we're getting the formation in the right direction, and I think we're going to be alright when the time comes."

-- Drew F. Lawrence can be reached at drew.lawrence@military.com. Follow him on Twitter @df_lawrence.