【Comment】
Hun Sen, the President of Cambodia, said that his country rejects any foreign military presence as well as any “rivalry that could potentially plunge Cambodia into a proxy war again, that she would not be a proxy war after his rejection of the offer from the U.S.
This might be another focus: “Exiled opposition leader Sam Rainsy called for an international investigation into China’s activities, saying they could violate the 1991 Paris Peace Agreements that ended a protracted civil war.”
This might be another focus: “Exiled opposition leader Sam Rainsy called for an international investigation into China’s activities, saying they could violate the 1991 Paris Peace Agreements that ended a protracted civil war.”
The U.S. Fears
This Huge Southeast Asian Resort May Become a Chinese Naval Base By Philip Heijmans @ Bloomberg 20190722
Along pristine Cambodian beaches, past parades of elephants in its largest
national park, sits an area half the size of Singapore that is ringing alarm bells
among military strategists in the U.S. and beyond.
Dara Sakor, a $3.8 billion China-backed investment zone encompassing
20% of Cambodia’s coastline, is unlike any other in the developing Southeast Asian
nation. Controlled by a Chinese company with
a 99-year lease, it features phased plans for an international airport, a
deep-water seaport and industrial park along with a luxury resort complete with
power stations, water treatment plants and medical facilities.
The size and scope of the plans
for Dara Sakor have fanned U.S. concerns the resort could be part of a larger Chinese
plan to base military assets in Cambodia, according to an official familiar with
the situation. A naval presence there would
further expand China’s strategic footprint into Southeast Asia, consolidating its
hold over disputed territory in the South China Sea and waterways that carry trillions
of dollars of trade.
It’s not the first time China’s presence in Cambodia has raised alarms with
the Trump administration. Vice President
Mike Pence last year wrote a letter to Prime Minister Hun Sen expressing fears that
Cambodia might be planning to host Chinese equipment at another nearby location,
the Ream Naval Base, which officials in Phnom Penh have repeatedly denied.
Strategic Resort
More broadly, the U.S. suspects that President Xi Jinping’s signature Belt
and Road Initiative to build ports and other strategic infrastructure in places
such as Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Myanmar will pave the way for China to set up more
military bases overseas after establishing its first one in Djibouti two years ago.
Cambodia, which
gets three-quarters of its investment
from China, has increasingly been Beijing’s most reliable partner in Southeast Asia.
“If you have a naval base in Cambodia it means
the Chinese navy has a more favorable operational environment in the waters surrounding
Southeast Asia,” said Charles Edel, a former State Department official who
is now a senior fellow at the United States Studies Center at the University of
Sydney. “You
have all of a sudden mainland Southeast Asia potentially sitting behind a defensive
Chinese military perimeter. This is
by far the biggest implication and one that would likely have political effects.”
Since taking office in 2017, President Donald Trump has publicly questioned
the value of longstanding U.S. alliances in Asia and elsewhere in the world. That has helped provide an opening for China and
Russia to further strengthen strategic ties with friendly countries.
Hun Sen has called reports
of a Chinese military base “fake and twisting the truth.” He wrote back to Pence saying his country rejects any foreign military presence as well
as any “rivalry that could potentially plunge Cambodia into a proxy war again,”
according to a copy seen by Bloomberg.
That did little to reassure the U.S., however. Last month, Department of Defense official Joseph Felter wrote to Defense Minister Tea Banh asking
why Cambodia rejected an offer of U.S. funds to repair
facilities in Ream Naval Base after initially submitting a request in January.
Felter said the sudden reversal fueled suspicions
that Cambodia would host Chinese military assets at
the base, according to a letter seen by Bloomberg.
“We are concerned that any steps by the Cambodian government to invite a foreign
military presence in Cambodia would threaten the coherence and centrality of the
Association of Southeast Asian Nations,” Emily Zeeberg, spokeswoman for the U.S.
Embassy in Phnom Penh, said by email.
Cambodia’s government insists it has nothing to hide. Tea Banh, who attended the opening ceremony for
Dara Sakor in March, told Radio Free Asia this month that Cambodia no longer needed the U.S. funds because the facilities
designated for repair would be moved to an unspecified new location.
Phay Siphan, Cambodia’s main
government spokesman, likened U.S. worries about a Chinese military base to its
search for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. Cambodia has no intention
to host Chinese naval assets at Dara Sakor or anywhere else, he said.
“Dara Sakor is civilian — there is no base at all,”
Phay Siphan said. “It could be converted,
yes, but you could convert anything.”
Covering 360 square kilometers (140 square miles) of the heavily forested
Botum Sakor National Park, Dara Sakor was conceived as a tourism hub in 2008 when
the concession was awarded to Tianjin Union Development
Group based in the northern Chinese port city. The company, which attracted senior
Communist Party leaders to endorse the project, wants to create what amounts
to a new Cambodian metropolis.
Brochures on its website show ambitious plans: an airport that receives half of Cambodia’s
visitors, docking facilities for full-size cruise ships and high-speed rail connections
to the capital Phnom Penh and Siem Reap — home to the famed Angkor temples and currently
Cambodia’s top tourist draw. Chinese tourists last year made up about a third of the country’s
6.2 million visitors, which contributed about 13% of gross domestic product.
Tianjin Union didn’t officially provide anyone who could answer questions
on the record after repeated phone calls and emails over several weeks. A woman who only gave her last name as Zhong said
by phone: “We noticed that the Cambodian government has responded to this issue,
and dismissed the speculation of building a military base there. We have nothing further to add.”
A visit to Dara Sakor this month showed nothing out of the ordinary. One employee at the resort said a new airport was
necessary because the closest one was currently about a 3.5-hour drive on newly
paved roads from Sihanoukville, a beach town where a Chinese investment boom has
stirred local resentment in recent years.
At a checkpoint in front of the construction site for the new airport, which
is set to become operational next year, a single sleepy guard waved through vehicles
to a vast expanse of dirt. Visitors could
drive all around the area, including on the newly completed tarmac. Construction hadn’t yet begun on a terminal or
other buildings, and only a handful of people milled about.
A guard manning another checkpoint on a 67-kilometer (41-mile) dirt road connecting
the resort with a deep-water port initially demanded a $5 bribe before relenting.
The bumpy stretch showed few signs of life
other than streams of elephant dung.
Inside the resort, which opened in 2014, tourists from Cambodia and China
ate, swam and lounged about with their families. The staff invited Bloomberg reporters to explore
the spacious grounds, which were accessible through an entrance featuring tall roman
pillars beneath a large pediment. Nowhere
appeared off limits.
The resort had a well-manicured golf course and a white sand beach that curved
beneath a tree-lined hill. But it was already
showing some wear and tear: man-made ponds were filled with scum, and weeds grew
through cracked tiles along the walkways.
“There is no Chinese army here, not that I can see,” said a young driver at
the resort who goes by Bob. He laughed at
the idea that the resort would one day play host to the Chinese military.
At a security conference in Singapore last month, Chinese Defense Minister
Wei Fenghe flatly denied the country is building a naval base in Cambodia. “There
is no such thing as for China to establish its military presence in Cambodia,” he
said in response to a question.
But military strategists see a few red flags. The new airport will
have a capacity of 10 million passengers a year, double the capacity in Phnom Penh
and more than 40 times the number of visitors who
arrived in 2017 at the airport in Sihanoukville, which has loads of hotels and casinos.
Koh Kong received only around 150,000 international visitors last year.
“Unless you have the kind of tourism you need
already there, then you don’t build an airport — especially
when there is already an airport nearby,” said retired Indian
Army colonel Vinayak Bhat, a former satellite imagery analyst. The deep-water port
also doesn’t make sense for tourism, he said, adding: “It can become a naval base
overnight.”
Bhat said Indian military planners were also worried
about China’s interest in financing the Kra Canal through Thailand, which would allow it to bypass the
Malacca Strait and project power into the Indian Ocean. While Thai Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha ordered
an examination of feasibility proposals for the canal in
November, little has been done since then. Older studies suggest that it could take just nine years to build if given the green
light.
Either way, suspicions are likely to persist, in part due to the lack of transparency
in Cambodia. Exiled opposition leader Sam
Rainsy called for an international investigation into China’s activities, saying
they could possibly violate the 1991 Paris Peace Agreements
that ended a protracted civil war.
A foreign military base in Cambodia would be “potentially destabilizing for
the region,” Rainsy said. “This risk clearly
needs to be taken seriously and independently assessed.”
這影片有到Sihanoukville實地採訪
回覆刪除https://youtu.be/cUxw9Re-Z-E