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2021-02-06

大西洋理事會的〈較長電報〉THE LONGER TELEGRAM  Atlantic Council 摘要翻譯 Taimocracy

THE LONGER TELEGRAM

Toward a new American China strategy      Atlantic Council

  • The single most important challenge facing the United States and the democratic world in the twenty-first century is the rise of an increasingly authoritarian and aggressive China under Xi Jinping. China has long had an integrated, operational strategy for dealing with the United States. The United States has so far had no such strategy with regard to China. This is a dereliction of national responsibility. 美國和民主世界在21世紀面臨的最重要的一個挑戰是習近平領導下的一個日益專制和侵略性的中國的崛起。中國長期以來有一套綜合的、可操作的對美戰略。美國至今沒有這樣的對華戰略。這是一種國家責任的失職
  • US strategy and policy toward China must be laser-focused on the fault lines among Xi and his inner circle–aimed at changing their objectives and behavior and thus their strategic course. Communist Party elites are much more divided about Xi’s leadership and vast ambitions than is widely appreciated. 美國的對華戰略和政策必須以聚焦在習近平及其核心圈子的斷層上--旨在改變他們的目標和行為,從而改變他們的戰略路線。中共精英們對習近平的領導力和巨大野心的分歧比人們普遍認為的要大得多。
  • The foremost goal of US strategy should be to cause China’s ruling elites to conclude that it is in China’s best interests to continue operating within the US-led liberal international order rather than building a rival order, and that it is in the Chinese Communist Party’s best interests to not attempt to expand China’s borders or export its political model beyond China’s shores. 美國戰略的首要目標應該是使中國的統治精英們得出結論:繼續在美國主導的自由主義國際秩序內運作,而不是符合中國的最大利益建立一個對立的秩序,且不試圖將中國的邊界擴大或將其政治模式輸出到中國海岸之外符合中國共產黨的最大利益。

 

Table of contents

FOREWORD, by Frederick Kempe
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

TOWARD A NEW NATIONAL CHINA STRATEGY
The significance of the China challenge
US response: Political inertia or strategic vision
Analyzing Chinese political priorities
China’s evolving strategy toward the United States
Establishing a long-term US national China strategy

PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER: THE CONTENT OF AN EFFECTIVE US CHINA STRATEGY
National measures to rebuild American economic and military strength
Deterring and preventing China from crossing US red lines
Areas of major national security concern
Areas of declared strategic competition
Areas of continued strategic cooperation
And may the best side win in the global battle for ideas
Implementation

CONCLUSION


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