【縛雞之見】
The recognition of a new state may take a long time.
The UAE, after Egypt (1979) and Jordan (1994), recognized the State of
Israel by signing the “Abraham Accord” on August 13, 72 years after its 1948
Independence.
Recognition of state is not a natural thing. It could have experienced
decades of engagement to get to it, during which is a gray zone or known as the
de facto recognition. However, it
might be an act of 2020 U.S. Presidential Campaign by seeing the phrase:
"There will be no Embassy in Jerusalem until a final agreement is signed
between Palestine and Israel," while exchanging embassies and ambassadors.
It needs more recognition for Israel from its Arabian neighbors to be
secure and stable.
- 19760326
Egypt–Israel Peace Treaty
- 19941026
Israel–Jordan peace treaty
- 20200813
Israel–United
Arab Emirates accords
意料外情理中 以阿交流已多年 聯合20200815
英國泰晤士報指出,以色列與阿拉伯聯合大公國建交是重要突破,並且對阿拉伯世界「反猶太復國主義」造成重擊。猶太復國主義是指支持猶太人在以色列地帶重建猶太家園的想法。
不過,弔詭的是,以阿建交又沒有表面看起來那麼重要,雖然阿聯先前不承認以色列,卻已跟以色列交流多年、甚至數十年。兩國早在情報上合作,並對抗共同敵人,如伊朗和伊斯蘭基本教義派。兩國也互相有貿易關係,尤其在科技產品方面。
阿聯一度積極捍衛巴勒斯坦人的權益,但阿聯終究以自身利益為優先,厭倦了處理以色列巴勒斯坦問題需要的政治活動和無止境的談判。以色列,尤其在現任總理內唐亞胡領導下,一直善於拖延政治活動以達到自身目的。
內唐亞胡是否真想兼併約旦河西岸部分地區,是個問題。以色列決定暫停兼併,給了阿聯建交的誘因。不過,美國川普政府也反對以色列的兼併計畫,使以色列很難推動。泰晤士報認為,以色列拋出兼併計畫可能是為了創造談判籌碼,好在需要時宣布暫停兼併,換取與阿拉伯國家建交。
內唐亞胡的前任者必須將西奈半島歸還給埃及,才換到與埃及建交,也必須簽下一九九四年奧斯陸協定,才能與約旦建交,相比之下,贏得阿聯建交顯得容易多了。
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