The deadlock of the primary election of DPP, the ruling Democratic
Progressive Party, for the 2020 Presidential Campaign seems to entangle for an
endless loop. Supporters’ calling for
“the winner be the while the loser is the vice,” ignoring the significance of
the realpolitik is naïve. The
“Winner-take-all” is, in fact, the style of Chinese culture. The deadlock was accumulated by serial preventable small things. It is the responsibility of the ruler.
First, the DPP did not shuffle its cabinet members immediately after the
November 24 land sliding defeat. The
cadres of the President are intact. The
defeat happened again on March 16 was more than natural, if the supporters did
not sense of the ruler’s self-review.
Second, the principle of “the incumbent first” is natural; however, it
should be a written rule, not a unilateral expectation. The primary election should follow the
announcement step by step if two or more competitors finish the registration. However, if the cabinet members shuffled at
the place, the supporters will forgive the “mistake” of the primary election,
if the President so asked.
Third, Tsai and Lai met on March 8.
The dialogue on the primary election between the two was just four short
questions, similar to that of the Zen Masters.
The ambiguous dialogue brought arguable interpretations only. The two lost a great chance to reach a meaningful solution to the problem.
The only way is to solve politically, besides following the law, the rule
of DPP’s primary election. The political
solution is not that bad, it could create a brand new Taiwan political culture
on the contrary.
One political solution is to request Tsai and Lai to promise: 1. to
maintain the set rules of the primary election; 2. to accept the result of the
poll by the traditional landline households; 3. to be the competitor’s Vice if
he/she loses the poll. If they can get
rid of the problem of the face, the supports will vote for them, even the
incumbent President becomes the vice of the challenger. They will win the 2020 Presidential Campaign.
The above solve, established on the precondition of power sharing, is far
beyond naïve. The practice of democracy
is not to eliminate competitors.
Instead, it is to search the possibility of “win-win result” by sharing
the power with due proportion.
There is the "Unitary Executive Theory" in the U.S.
Constitution. The Vice President is not
a natural spare. The movie “Vice” of
2018, addressed Dick Cheney, the once-defeated power seeker, regained the trust
of George Bush, won the campaign, became the Vice President and helped President
Bush “substantially.” The film did not
rate Cheney in a positive way; however, it showed the possibility of politics.
There are countless coalition governments around the world, which
introduce the Cabinet system. What we
have to do is to treat the groups of Tsai and Lai different "sub-parties,"
force them to collaborate in the coalition pattern. There is highly possible to have a winner
with fewer votes, say fewer than 30% of the constituency. How could we trust them to win, if they
cannot do this tiny difficulty? There
might be an armed crisis around Taiwan Strait in the near future, how can the
winner of the campaign lead us to survive by an establishing the Grand
Coalition as the U.K. has done in the past.
Politics is not to search for right or wrong. It is to transfer the rights and powers of
from the old establishments to the new one like Meiji Restoration did in the
19th century. There is no room for
another Natural Number; however, there are countless Real Numbers, Rational and
Irrational, could be inserted within the two.
from Jasmine
回覆刪除I am very excited about reading this article. After hiding behind the short, logical but cold comments about media articles/news for months, you finally provided us your complete and constructive thoughts regarding the primary election of DPP. I agree most of your opinions except this one, to accept the result of the poll by the traditional landline households. Why is the poll by the traditional landline household the best and only acceptable method to determine the person of presidential candidate of DPP? I do not have a home phone for years, even it is almost free after bundled with internet and cable TV services.
According to “106 年通訊市場調查結果摘要報告” by 財團法人台灣經濟研究院, there was a 17.7% of 16 year-old and above population in Taiwan who only used cellular phone service. The poll will automatically exclude 1/5 of mother population when it is only conducted by traditional landline households.
From the bottom of my heart, I never believe that poll is the best way to determine the candidate. I personal prefer the method of voter registration. Even at the end poll is the only method that both sides can have the most consensus, poll conducted by traditional landline households is still the worst. It won’t show the fidelity and will create further controversy. (in my opinion)