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2020-01-12

民主體制的力量 The Superiority of the Democratic System HoonTing 20200112


民主體制的力量  The Superiority of the Democratic System    HoonTing 20200112
President Tsai Ing-wen won 2020 Taiwan’s Presidential election with recorded 8.17 million votes and with the ruling Democratic Progressive Party’s 61 over 113 seats in the Legislative Yuan.

2020大選,蔡總統以817萬超高得票與執政黨國會過半比例,贏取四年政權。


Tsai successes the legacy of President Chiang Kai-shek and Chiang Ching-kuo on one hand, and get a historical high authority for the next four years on the other hand. The second term is hers, not by the collaboration of any factions in the party. Just as President Lee Teng-hui has shuffled his advisors in his later phase, President Tsai has to relocate her cadres to rebalance the malfunction due to un-balance of power.
她一方面繼承了兩蔣的政治權威傳統,一方面被賦予未來四年無人可及的權威。未來四年任期是她自己的,不是單一派系的運作。一如李登輝執政後期幕僚大換血,她也應透過換血,糾正過去權力分配的失衡,不管是老藍男或派系。

President Tsai stressed “The Republic of China (Taiwan)” in her press conference by saying “how much we cherish our nation: the Republic of China (Taiwan).” It was the second time she introduced the term. The term is so unique that it might be the main theme of political adjustment during her second term. “The Republic of China (Taiwan)” could be a further step to strengthen the status of Taiwan, from the re-born of 1952, the authorization of home-rule building in 1979, and the completion of the home-rule in 1996. Taiwan has one step closer from the Dominion to a new state.
繼去年國慶演講,蔡總統在國際記者會,開宗明義強調「珍惜我們的國家—中華民國台灣」。顯然,「中華民國台灣」不是一次演講的華麗文藻,它會是蔡總統再獲人民授權後政治調整的主軸。「中華民國台灣」將會是戰後台灣政治重建,歷經1952年新生、1979年被授權自治、1996完成自治後最新一步的收斂—台灣政治地位將從「自治領」再往前邁進。

Tsai used another concept in her remark by saying “Mayor Han and Chairman Soong for completing this democratic journey with me.” It is not ordinary usage; instead, Tsai is emphasizing the superiority of the democratic system.
記者會中,蔡總統另一關鍵用語,是「要向韓市長和宋主席致意,和我一起完成了這段民主之旅」。「一起完成」並非簡單客套話,而是在強調民主體制的優越性。

The fact that all parties engaged in the Crimean War financed their war budget from the City of London is not an opportunist move; rather the parties and the City do believe the superiority of the system, not a single win or loss. A decade ago, Chairperson Tsai expressed her recognition toward democracy, especially the national identity of Taiwan. She said then that it is nothing that the result of the referendum is, Taiwan’s national identity is getting stronger during the serial referendum. The challenger Han Huo-yu echoed the superiority of the democratic system by saying “since the citizens of the Republic of China expressed their decision, I honor the result as a candidate.” No one dares to overthrow democratic results like Lian Chan in 2004. President Tsai’s belief is spanning over a decade.
一如在克里米亞戰爭中,敵對各方都向倫敦金融城融資一事,並非如尋常人理解是投機者兩面押寶,而是他們深信:體制優越性超越短期戰爭輸贏。約十年前,蔡主席在一個私人場合,對民主,尤其是公投,說出以下看法:無論結果如何,能讓公投一次一次舉行的本身,就是對台灣主體性的一次一次確認。現在,韓國瑜在敗選聲明中公開承諾「既然中華民國國民做出決定,身為候選人一定服從選舉結果」,呼應了台灣民主體制的優越性—沒有人敢再出現2004年連戰式的怨懟。比對十年前後,蔡總統仍堅信民主體制的優越性。

Thanks to the support of the “Five Eye Alliance” in national security and cyber field, a faked incident, which might turn the result of 2020 Presidential Campaign was exposed days before Election Day. Taiwan is an ear to the Alliance after this close collaboration. It is critically important for Beijing is entering the post-Xi Jing-ping era in just one year. No one is sure that Xi will step down from the top of the Chinese Communist power as he is expected, or will he play as the Chinese emperor? Beijing might choose to give pressure further over Taiwan to disguise its internal conflict.
幸好有五眼聯盟在國安與網路領域的幫忙,適時戳破一場偽造鬧劇,才不至於讓2020年選舉結果被瞬間翻轉。經此合作,台灣已經是五眼聯盟外的一隻耳朵。此事極端重要,因為最快一年,中國便要進入後習近平時代的轉換期,他是否依例卸任,或如皇帝般登基?在未定之天。此時,北京極可能對台灣採取無理取鬧態度,以轉移內部壓力。

President Tsai, endowed the most powerful position in the Pacific War Taiwan, will face all the temptation she could ever experience. The administrative power is given by the People and for the People, not a private asset of the leader. Remembering the wisdom of “absolute power corrupts absolutely,” feeling the ex officio feature of power, then President Tsai will pass the trial.

獲得戰後台灣政治權威頂峰地位的蔡總統,行使權力時必定處處充滿魔戒般的誘惑。權力只是人民暫時委託的虛幻物,但絕對權力絕對會腐化,如何能體會「我,不是我的我」,自在行使權力,是蔡總統自己內心無法公開言說的聖戰。

6 則留言:

  1. 換句話說, 不改變台灣現況真實意義應就是[不改變台灣是美國「自治領」這個現況]吧, 至少在現階段, 如是, 那麼, 自治領之義務已盡, 該有的權利也應給吧?

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    1. 自治領,這類的地位
      在聯合王國,就是 Dominion
      在美利堅,就是 Commonwealth

      更進一步的就是 Free State 有各式各樣更細的樣態

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  2. 這篇的描述,可生動了"應該可以這麼說,她是李登輝送進去民進黨當養女的。......民進黨的家務事,其實就是一齣民視鄉土劇,抱來的,哪有嫡系長房大孫來得矜貴?"
    去年6月她接受TVBS專訪如此說道:「政治是禍福相倚,當失敗了以後,盲點浮現,妳反而有自信起來。如果只要做一個什麼事情都不做,只要發津貼的政府,我也可以做啊,大家會喜歡我多一點。我知道我不夠果決,不夠勇敢,但如果說真心話,一個不夠果決不夠勇敢的總統,她敢去做年金改革嗎?她敢花3年的時間去做稅改,然後再3年時間人民才感受得到,我敢不敢去承擔風險?一個總統除了要勇敢要果決,有時候她還要忍辱負重。」
    https://www.facebook.com/NotCaryGrant/posts/1306622639544792

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    1. 「失敗了以後,盲點浮現,妳反而有自信起來」

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  3. 選舉勝敗的因果是很有趣的研究,1998阿扁台北市長被馬英九擊敗,2000年阿扁就當了總統。2004阿扁擊敗連宋配,2008馬英九就當了總統。2012馬英九擊敗蔡英文連任,2014就讓柯文哲選上台北市長,2016蔡英文當選總統。2018韓國瑜擊敗陳其邁當選高雄市長,2020讓柯文哲不能選總統,讓蔡英文以歷史第一高票817萬連任。

    2018大選成果
    https://blog.xuite.net/bobchen7/wretch/585791557

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