A lecture in Alaska shows that
adversaries sense U.S. weakness. The
Editorial Board@WSJ 20210321
That was some tongue lashing a senior Chinese official delivered last week in Anchorage to top Biden Administration officials in their first meeting. This is the new reality in U.S.-China relations, as adversaries look to see if they can exploit President Biden as they did Barack Obama.
The two sides had agreed to two minutes of
opening remarks each. Secretary of State
Antony Blinken kept his short and hospitable, though he did say the U.S. has “deep concerns with actions
by China, including in Xinjiang, Hong Kong, Taiwan, cyber attacks on the United
States, and economic coercion toward our
allies. Each of these actions threaten the rules-based order that maintains
global stability.”
China’s director of the Central Commission for
Foreign Affairs, Yang Jiechi, then went on a 20-minute
tear (including translation) about the superiority of “Chinese-style democracy” and America’s sins. The latter included a reference to
Black Lives Matter, human-rights problems, and that the U.S. “has exercised
long-arm jurisdiction and suppression and overstretched the national security
through the use of force or financial hegemony.”
Mr. Yang added: “So we believe that it is
important for the United States to change its own image and to stop advancing
its own democracy in the rest of the world. Many people within the United
States actually have little confidence in the democracy of the United States.” As we’ve noted,
the Chinese like to echo the woke U.S. media critique of America.
Mr. Blinken responded that the U.S.
“acknowledges our imperfections, acknowledges that we’re not perfect, we make
mistakes, we have reversals, we take steps back” but then make progress again.
This is true enough, but needlessly defensive after
a foreigner’s public assault on U.S. interests and values.
***
This is only one meeting, but it was a tone setter for the world’s most important
bilateral relationship. Word is leaking
that the private exchanges from the Chinese side
were as tough as the public remarks. The Chinese are making clear that, after the
Trump years, Beijing wants a return to the policy
of Obama accommodation to China’s global advances.
This means feeble objections to China’s cyber
and intellectual property theft. It
means ending the U.S. policy of building an alliance of democracies in Asia
that counters Chinese aggression. And
above all, it means ending criticism or sanctions against China for violating
its treaty with Britain over Hong Kong, threatening an invasion of Taiwan, or
imprisoning Uighers in Xinjiang reeducation camps.
In its first two months the Biden
Administration has been strong in its rhetoric on all of this. Mr. Blinken and national security adviser Jake
Sullivan orchestrated a series of well-done meetings with Indo-Pacific allies
in advance of the Anchorage meeting. They also struck a deal on financing U.S.
troop deployments in South Korea.
But the real
challenge will be how well it responds to the aggressive designs of adversaries
in Beijing, Moscow and Tehran. The hard men in these capitals recall how
they were able to advance when Mr. Biden’s liberal
internationalists were last in power under Mr. Obama. Russia grabbed
Crimea, invaded eastern Ukraine and moved into Syria. China snatched islands for military bases in
the South China Sea and stole U.S. secrets with impunity. Iran spread terrorism via proxy throughout the
Middle East and fleeced John Kerry on the nuclear deal.
These regional powers are looking to see if this new U.S. Administration is Obama II. The renewed courtship of Tehran to return to
the flawed 2015 nuclear deal is a sign of weakness. Vladimir Putin will surely take some action against U.S. interests in response to Mr.
Biden’s affirmative response last week to a question of whether the Russian is
a “killer.”
The biggest test will be China, which is growing in confidence that it has
the strategic advantage over a declining America. If you don’t believe that, read Mr. Yang’s
comments in Anchorage. The thinking of
the powers in Beijing today is not unlike that of the Soviet Union in the 1970s
when American decline was in vogue and the Communists sought to advance around
the world. Except China today has far
more economic strength.
The future of Taiwan may be the most fraught
challenge. As a locus of global
semiconductor production, the island is crucial to U.S. economic interests as
well as being a democratic ally. Chinese
President Xi Jinping has made clear that retaking
Taiwan is a priority, and China’s
military is building a force capable of a quick-strike invasion. Mr. Xi will be
eager to trade promises about climate change for U.S. acquiescence over Taiwan.
This is a dangerous moment as the world’s rogue powers look to test the Biden
Administration’s resolve. The
Anchorage lecture is a warning to take seriously.
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