【Comment】
翻譯請指正,裡面有專業內容。
將手機「包括進來」,並非全手機,而是市話加手機,因為近40%的家庭只有手機。
若「僅手機家庭的人往往更年輕,更可能是種族和少數民族,更可能是短暫的」為真,那就是作為補充手段,不是取代。
這是蓋洛普的民調研究與慣常,協會也繼續研究。
換言之,是新的方法—有必要,但未盡成熟。
Does Gallup
call cellphones? Gallup / Taimcracy翻譯
Gallup includes cellphones in each national Gallup poll. Gallup has been including
cellphone-only households in all national telephone Gallup polls since January 2008. Further, cellphone-only households are now as
likely to fall into national Gallup polls samples as those living in
traditional landline households.
蓋洛普在每個全國性蓋洛普民意調查中都包括手機。自2008年1月以來,蓋洛普一直將所有僅有手機的家庭納入蓋洛普全國性民意調查中。此外,僅有手機的家庭,現在可能會像生活在傳統固定電話家庭中的人一樣,落入蓋洛普國家民意調查樣本中。
Gallup and the survey research industry as a whole are exceedingly aware
that increasing numbers of Americans use cellphones in addition to traditional
landline phones and that nearly 40% of
households have only cellphones. Gallup's
methodologists and survey scientists have studied,
researched, conducted test polling; analyzed existing data; and examined the
implications of the inclusion or exclusion of cellphones and determined
that it is necessary to include cellphone
numbers in survey samples despite the increased costs of doing so to ensure
that the obtained samples continue to be representative of all Americans. This is particularly important given recent
studies that show that people in cellphone-only households tend to be younger,
are more likely to be racial and ethnic minorities, and more likely to be
transient.
蓋洛普和整個調查研究行業都非常清楚,除了傳統的固定電話外,越來越多的美國人使用手機,近40%的家庭只有手機。蓋洛普的方法學家和調查科學家已經研究,研究,進行了測試調查;分析現有數據;並檢視了包含或排除手機的影響,並確定有必要在調查樣本中包括手機號碼,儘管這樣做的成本增加,以確保所獲得的樣本仍能代表所有美國人。這一點尤其重要,因為最近的研究表明,僅手機家庭的人往往更年輕,更可能是種族和少數民族,更可能是短暫的。
In addition, recent annual conferences of the American Association for
Public Opinion Research have included multiple scientific sessions dealing
specifically with the cellphone issue. The
organization and Gallup methodologists continue to consider and study new
approaches to cellphone sampling to refine and improve upon current techniques
in use.
此外,最近美國公眾輿論研究協會的年度會議,包括多個專門處理手機問題的科學會議。該組織和蓋洛普方法學家繼續考慮和研究手機採樣的新方法,以改進和改進當前使用的技術。
市話調查的,反而不是固定的某人,而是某個剛好在電話旁邊的人,因為通常在家的人更固定,所以市話民調一直有很大的誤差,尤其是全國性、大範圍的。手機剛好相反,可以輕易更換號碼,但使用者通常侷限一人,就民調來說,手機使用者的意向確認,會比市話有更高的信賴度。
回覆刪除