【Comment】
美國軍方發現,俄羅斯潛艦與間諜船總在重要網路海纜附近活動,從北海、東北亞到美國沿岸等。
假使實施攻擊行動,特別是假使破壞發生於在難以到達並修復的深度時,不可小覷。此事比冷戰期間的竊聽還嚴重。
台灣,這10年來也發生過幾次網路斷訊事件,記憶所及包括「漁船」勾斷至少2次,颱風造成的海底山崩(或堆積)斷訊等。
Russian Ships Near Data Cables Are Too Close for U.S. Comfort○NYT(2015.10.25)
WASHINGTON — Russian submarines and spy ships are aggressively
operating near the vital undersea cables that carry almost all global Internet
communications, raising concerns among some American military and
intelligence officials that the Russians might be planning to attack those
lines in times of tension or conflict.
The issue goes beyond old worries during
the Cold War that the Russians would tap into the cables — a task American
intelligence agencies also mastered decades ago. The alarm today is deeper: The ultimate Russian
hack on the United States could involve severing the fiber-optic cables at some of their hardest-to-access locations to
halt the instant communications on which the West’s governments, economies and
citizens have grown dependent.
While there is no evidence yet of any cable cutting, the concern is part of
a growing wariness among senior American and allied military and intelligence
officials over the accelerated activity by Russian armed forces around the
globe. At the same time, the
internal debate in Washington illustrates how the
United States is increasingly viewing every Russian move through a lens of deep
distrust, reminiscent of relations during the Cold War.
Inside the Pentagon and the nation’s spy agencies, the assessments of Russia’s
growing naval activities are highly classified and
not publicly discussed in detail. American officials are secretive about what they
are doing both to monitor the activity and to find ways to recover quickly if
cables are cut. But more than a dozen officials confirmed in broad terms that it had become the source of significant attention in the
Pentagon.
“I’m worried every day about what the Russians
may be doing,” said Rear Adm. Frederick J.
Roegge , commander of the Navy’s
submarine fleet in the Pacific, who would not answer questions about possible
Russian plans for cutting the undersea cables.
In private, however, commanders and intelligence officials are far more
direct. They report that from the North Sea to Northeast Asia and even in waters
closer to American shores, they are monitoring significantly increased
Russian activity along the known routes of the cables, which carry the
lifeblood of global electronic communications and commerce.
Just last month, the Russian spy ship Yantar, equipped
with two self-propelled deep-sea submersible craft, cruised slowly off
the East Coast of the United States on its way to Cuba — where one major cable
lands near the American naval station at Guantánamo Bay. It was monitored
constantly by American spy satellites, ships and planes. Navy officials said the Yantar and the submersible vehicles it can drop off its decks have
the capability to cut cables miles down in the sea.
“The level of activity,” a senior European diplomat said, “is comparable to
what we saw in the Cold War.”
One NATO ally, Norway, is so concerned that it has asked its neighbors for
aid in tracking Russian submarines.
The operations are consistent with Russia’s expanding military operations
into places like Crimea, eastern Ukraine and Syria, where President Vladimir V. Putin has sought to demonstrate a much
longer reach for Russian ground, air and naval forces.
“The risk here is that any country could cause damage to the system and do
it in a way that is completely covert, without having a warship with a
cable-cutting equipment right in the area,” said Michael Sechrist, a former
project manager for a Harvard-M.I.T. research project funded in part by the
Defense Department.
“Cables get cut all the time — by
anchors that are dragged, by natural disasters,” said Mr. Sechrist ,
who published a study in 2012 of the vulnerabilities of the undersea cable
network. But most
of those cuts take place within a few miles from shore, and can be repaired in
a matter of days.
What worries Pentagon planners most is that the
Russians appear to be looking for vulnerabilities at much greater depths, where
the cables are hard to monitor and breaks are hard to find and repair.
The exceptions are special cables, with
secret locations, that have been commissioned by the United States for military
operations; they do not show up on widely available
maps, and it is possible the Russians are hunting for those, officials
said.
The role of the cables is more important than ever before. They carry global
business worth more than $10 trillion a day, including from financial
institutions that settle transactions on them every second. Any significant
disruption would cut the flow of capital. The cables also carry more than 95 percent of
daily communications.
So important are undersea cables that the Department of
Homeland Security lists their landing
areas — mostly around New York, Miami and Los
Angeles — at the top of its list of “critical infrastructure.”
Attention to underwater cables is not new. In October 1971,
the American submarine Halibut entered the
Sea of Okhotsk north of Japan, found a telecommunications cable used by Soviet
nuclear forces, and succeeded in tapping its secrets. The mission, code-named Ivy Bells, was so
secret that a vast majority of the submarine’s sailors had no idea what they
had accomplished. The success led to a concealed world of cable
tapping.
And a decade ago, the United States Navy launched the
submarine Jimmy
Carter , which intelligence
analysts say is able to tap undersea cables and eavesdrop on communications
flowing through them.
Submarines are not the only vessels that are snooping on the undersea
cables. American officials
closely monitor the Yantar, which Russian officials insist is an oceanographic
ship with no ties to espionage.
“The Yantar is equipped with a unique onboard scientific research complex
which enables it to collect data on the ocean environment, both in motion and
on hold. There are no similar
complexes anywhere,” said Alexei
Burilichev , the head of the
deepwater research department at the Russian Defense Ministry, according to sputniknews.com in May 2015.
American concern over cable cutting is just one aspect of Russia’s
modernizing Navy that has drawn new scrutiny.
Citing public remarks by the Russian Navy chief, Adm.
Viktor Chirkov ,
Admiral Ferguson said the intensity of Russian
submarine patrols had risen by almost 50 percent over the last year. Russia has increased its
operating tempo to levels not seen in over a decade. Russian Arctic bases and their $2.4 billion investment in the Black Sea Fleet
expansion by 2020 demonstrate their commitment to develop their military
infrastructure on the flanks, he said.
Russia is also building an undersea unmanned drone capable of carrying a small, tactical nuclear weapon to use against harbors
or coastal areas, American military and intelligence analysts said.
Admiral Ferguson said that as part of Russia’s emerging doctrine of
so-called hybrid warfare, it is increasingly
using a mix of conventional force, Special Operations mission and new weapons
in the 21st-century battlefield.
“This involves the use of space, cyber, information warfare and hybrid
warfare designed to cripple the decision-making
cycle of the alliance,” Admiral Ferguson said, referring to NATO. “At sea, their focus is
disrupting decision cycles.”
海底ケーブル切断狙う? 世界でうごめく露潜水艦 米軍警戒強める○共同(2015.10.26)
米紙ニューヨーク・タイムズ(電子版)は25日、世界中のインターネット通信を担う海底の光ファイバーケーブル周辺で、ロシア軍の潜水艦が活動を活発化させていると報じた。有事の際に切断するための調査の可能性があるとみて米軍が警戒を強めているという。
複数の米当局者の話としている。同紙は、米国がロシアによる海底ケーブルを通じた情報収集だけでなく破壊活動まで想定していることについて、冷戦時代並みの対ロ不信の深まりを表すものだと指摘した。
同紙によると、北海から北東アジアにかけての海域に加え、米近海でも海底ケーブルの敷設ルート付近でロシア艦船の活動が増大。9月には深海潜水艇2隻を備えたロシアの情報収集船がキューバに向けて米東海岸沿いをゆっくり南下した。
ロシアは特に、水深が深く切断部分の特定や修復作業が難しい場所を探しているとみられ、敷設ルートが公開されていない軍用ケーブルを狙っている可能性もあるという。(共同)
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