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此文為 Ajin大所報。
看起來,作者思考仍有先入為主的盲點。
Some questions about Malaysia Air Flight 370○John Aravosis(2014.03.13)http://americablog.com/2014/03/unanswered-questions-malaysia-air-flight-370.html
Now that there’s a growing theory that the missing Malaysia
Air Flight 370 continued to fly for four hours after it was last spotted an
hour northeast of Kuala Lumpur, there are still questions that I think need to
be asked.
One of the earlier questions I had: Why was everyone so sure the plane went down near
where that last radar ping was, the one that suggested the plane had
done a u-turn? Why couldn’t the plane
have kept flying, transponderless, to the west, northwest, southwest? Now it seems that question is more relevant.
But there are a few more questions some journalist should ask:
1. Has anyone checked the Internet records of the plane and its passengers?
I checked Malaysia Airlines, and they do have planes that offer a
variety of minimal Internet services (at the very least). This is from the Malaysia
Airlines Web site:
Your in-flight entertainment controller doubles as an air-to-ground
phone. Make calls or send text messages
to anywhere using your credit card. You can also call your friends on the same flight.
Did anyone make calls, send text messages, surf the Web while in flight?
When was the
last moment in time that any of this occurred? That would at least let us know whether the
plane was still viable.
2. Credit card records of the passengers?
If passengers continued to use the Internet while the plane was flying, their credit cards might indicate that, since they’d have
to buy the Internet access. And
if the plane had Web access, someone could have bought something on Amazon
while in flight. Again, this gives us a
sense of up until what hour the plane was operating
normally.
3. Could the transponderless plane have flown over land?
How difficult would it be for the plane to fly north over Thailand,
Myanmar, Bangladesh or India? Would the
plane have been intercepted, or could it have flown through other countries’
airspace? If
not, then that means it must be over the sea. Though they’ve searched over land in
Malaysia, suggesting radar coverage is spotty or
they’d have seen it.
4. What about Diego Garcia?
As I’d noted earlier, there’s “nothing” west of Kuala Lumpur and
Indonesia except the huge US naval base at Diego Garcia, in the middle of the
Indian Ocean.
Diego Garcia appears to fall near, but inside, the limits of the plane’s
maximum travel distance. That raise a
few questions:
a. Could Diego Garcia have been the target of a terrorist plot using this plane? Could you imagine
a US naval base having to choose whether to shoot down a fully-loaded civilian
airliner out of the sky? There
was a lot of discussion about how there were no “rich targets” in that area. Diego Garcia is
one such rich target.
b. What radar coverage does Diego Garcia have, and has it been checked?
c. What about our ships and subs in the area, would their radar and sonar potentially
have picked up a plane heading in their direction or crashing in the seas?
d. Satellite coverage. I just saw an expert on CNN say there’s no
reason for there to have been satellite coverage over the Indian Ocean, except that
Diego Garcia is there. So are we sure there’s no satellite coverage?
這些論點可能有點牽強,以下幾個原因:
回覆刪除1. “Could you imagine a US naval base having to choose whether to shoot down a fully-loaded civilian airliner out of the sky?” --- 但美國似乎才是在國際上主動透露飛機還繼續飛行四個小時的國家,而這一開始是遭到馬來西亞當局的否認。假設飛機被射落,美國應該不會是那個說要把軍艦調到印度洋搜索的國家,而這還是在馬來西亞否認這個說法的同時。
2. 可以主動告知位置的通訊系統都已經一一被關閉的情況下,internet卻沒被關閉的機率可能不是很大。
"What about Diego Garcia?"
回覆刪除Had not you alluded to it in an earlier post on the issue?
哈哈,俺湊熱鬧,唯恐不亂地攪和,說另一可能,就是該機在返回西飛進入M國領空之際,被M國擊落,因為是不明飛行物之故。但M國不如好幾年前的北極熊那麼有種,站出來承認說空中擊落韓航客機。
回覆刪除即使這樣,雖然仍不明為何需改變航道,但已經可以縮小搜尋範圍大約是在馬國境內的陸地上了。倘若是M國擊落,而故意打迷糊戰到今天,M國此後會非常難度日的啦!