網頁

2013-09-24

十月小鴨:連勝文

Famous Taiwan commentator released his latest article “A crazy man should not keep the office as President and Party Chair!,” in which Nanfang Shuo quoted an observation from KMT leader that “this time the victim is Wang Jin-ping, but the next will be the vice President Wu Due-Yi.”  It reveals the ruthlessness of MA’s rule, pretty much like Mao’s handling Liu Shao-qi or Lin Biao.
However, the above observation is way too superficial.

Sharing less political coalition, Wu possesses no sufficient support to stand straight in Taiwan.
The target might be a rising star in KMT: Sean Lien, son of KMT senior leader Lien Chan.  He has expressed his determination in TV news reports lately, such as: “You should devote all your energy to the political career”; “Even if you dodge politics, politics will still find you.”  The audience could snese his feeling of finding “nowhere to hide.”
But how come he has such a feeling?
There is a news report in the Liberty Times: “Sean’s life is in danger, Lien’s buddy revealed.”  It reported that Sean has received many warnings from judiciary and national security divisions, who ask Sean to watch out for “potential threat” to his life.  The warning of the “potential threat” becomes more solid recently, which bothers Lien’s family.
This is an example of “politics will still find you!”
Judging from the warnings of life threat of 2013, the gun shot on Sean’s face in the 2010 mayor election could be an incident aiming to prevent Sean’s rising as the political extension of Lien Chan.
Is Wu the next target?  Sean seems a strong probability.
The question comes back: What’s the next?  What does HE want or prevent?    Revised at 1400
 
這種看法太直接,不作數。
吳敦義是孤鳥一隻,只要缺少關愛眼神,吳敦義沒有站直的本錢。
觀看近日連勝文的參選北市長的意願與動作,他近日說如政治要全身參與,不能遮掩猶豫,以及你不去找政治政治會來找你之類的話,表示他已經體認「時不我予」。
時「如何」不我予呢?
今天的《自由時報》政治新聞〈友人透露 連勝文的人身安全亮紅燈〉報導「連勝文最近接獲司法單位或國安單位退休人員提醒,要小心『潛在威脅』,加強注意人身安全。尤其最近接獲許多相當具體的潛在威脅情資,給連家很大的疑慮。
這是政治來找連勝文。
從這點分析當年,連勝文臉頰的那顆子彈,是一種政治警告。
國民黨高層應該說:這次是王金平,下次就是連勝文。
然後呢?他要什麼?

5 則留言:


  1. 這個可能性不小,但為何先搞王?

    王與連爺爺走太近?

    要取代連爺爺在北京的地位?

    雖然捕風捉影,但看戲看得蠻樂的!

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. 有人以馬逐漸排除本土派的觀點官查馬的暴衝行為,認為,只剩下立法院長是台灣本籍。
      此觀點值得注意。(江宜樺,籍貫福建生於暖暖、考試院長為旗籍、監察院長則不明、司法院長為客家,一般認為半個外省…)

      王,與李扁皆關係良好。
      連戰,則是台灣連與旗人趙的混血。
      所以擺在第二批:送宗人府的名單。

      刪除
  2. 能一步步搞到大位,若說他不知憲政分際、不懂廣結善緣或看不出攪動血統馬蜂窩的嚴重性,其實都有點說不過去,尤其是在支持度一直徘徊在十幾趴的狀況下。除非有什麼因素大到足以讓他看不見或不顧這些嚴重性。
    1. 能夠大到足以讓他看不見的因素,只有一種可能,那就是這廝確實有病,而近來被拋棄感(支持度)、無力感(能力問題)、急迫感(歷史定位的時間已不多)、被惡搞感(各方政敵)和終極壓力(主子發飆)等等讓他整個崩潰而飢不擇食。仔細觀察一下他的面相!
    2. 能夠讓他不顧嚴重性(他是心裡有數的),不得不挺而走險的因素大概也只有一個,那就是他接獲直接且明確的,任何諜報人員無法逃避的任務指令。長期的潛伏運作,主子看到好好鱉被一個bunbler邰倒快要屎流,不趁還有十幾趴的剩餘價值來硬的,更待何時!

    回覆刪除
    回覆
    1. 我看其毫無來由的丟原子彈等行事風格,也覺得只有這兩種解釋:
      1. 心理疾病(可能是由肉體病理而來)
      2. 接獲命令搞爛台灣

      雖然我一直認為有個人是 political investment of Uncle (理由是2008綠卡事件與2012年選舉的呵護備至),但流通的主流說,是共諜(因為所作所為是對台灣不利,對北京有利),少部分則認為是雙面諜(假使將 KMT 的身分算一個的話是三面)。但何者為主?

      總之,從前述第 2 個推論看,到了該「還債」的時候了。壓力過大,所以抓狂?

      那,「枕邊人」是哪一邊的?

      刪除
  3. 很難猜,但是取消全代會應該不是一個好主意,這回「枕邊人」失算了。

    回覆刪除

請網友務必留下一致且可辨識的稱謂
顧及閱讀舒適性,段與段間請空一行