tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post3871598981174009212..comments2024-03-27T20:50:30.865+08:00Comments on 雲程的雙魚鏡 HoonTing's View: 講一大堆川普「贏的理由」,不是奇怪嗎?雲程的雙魚鏡http://www.blogger.com/profile/09190413865449296972noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-72272437354935252392016-11-17T21:27:19.360+08:002016-11-17T21:27:19.360+08:00http://www.101newsmedia.com/news/28120
川普表示:「若按照普...http://www.101newsmedia.com/news/28120<br /><br />川普表示:「若按照普選票來決定勝負,會在加州、紐約以及佛州等大城市舉辦更多場造勢會,同時也會贏得更輕鬆。」FFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-26568357351528419962016-11-17T15:02:36.533+08:002016-11-17T15:02:36.533+08:00以過去未完成式講過去?以過去未完成式講過去?雲程的雙魚鏡https://www.blogger.com/profile/09190413865449296972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-70105635612706119052016-11-17T12:25:30.804+08:002016-11-17T12:25:30.804+08:00川普說他只要改變策略,還是可以贏得總票數。川普說他只要改變策略,還是可以贏得總票數。FFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-37322077219113042972016-11-15T12:10:32.973+08:002016-11-15T12:10:32.973+08:00原因等同為何游錫堃只輸朱立倫一點點。川普的普選票輸這麼少就是對精英的警告了。
精英必須理解人民想要...原因等同為何游錫堃只輸朱立倫一點點。川普的普選票輸這麼少就是對精英的警告了。<br /><br />精英必須理解人民想要什麼及需要什麼,他們以為支持川普的民粹不懂美國及世界利益、但他們其實更糟糕。<br /><br />美國輸出和平其實是虧本生意,再不漲價美國就要垮了。FFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-28038555015697307932016-11-13T10:31:46.327+08:002016-11-13T10:31:46.327+08:00“I'm going to make another prediction,” Allan ...“I'm going to make another prediction,” Allan Lichtman told The Washington Post Friday. “This one is not based on a system; it's just my gut. They don't want Trump as president, because they can't control him. He's unpredictable. They'd love to have Pence — an absolutely down-the-line, conservative, controllable Republican. And I'm quite certain Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment, either by doing something that endangers national security or because it helps his pocketbook.”Xnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-29760448427332856962016-11-13T10:25:32.445+08:002016-11-13T10:25:32.445+08:00川普贏在賽局與加權的混合應用川普贏在賽局與加權的混合應用Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17768605902341833447noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-42671762201819420622016-11-13T08:47:09.963+08:002016-11-13T08:47:09.963+08:00"重工業州,工廠很多都關門,因為都轉到中國製造"???
懂得什麽是重工業麽?哪..."重工業州,工廠很多都關門,因為都轉到中國製造"???<br /><br />懂得什麽是重工業麽?哪来的重工業轉到中國製造?halahannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-64331007967967335442016-11-12T23:45:17.410+08:002016-11-12T23:45:17.410+08:00也許需要探討的其中一個原因是
為什麼民調會有所偏差
而且是這種偏差法也許需要探討的其中一個原因是<br />為什麼民調會有所偏差<br /><br /><a href="http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/" rel="nofollow">而且是這種偏差法</a>Lorenzonoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-88047060559657204812016-11-12T21:24:39.208+08:002016-11-12T21:24:39.208+08:00我的意思是:單純計算選票的話,川普沒有贏。
但川普贏。
所以是制度使川普勝出。
或者
川普陣營精準...我的意思是:單純計算選票的話,川普沒有贏。<br />但川普贏。<br /><br />所以是制度使川普勝出。<br />或者<br />川普陣營精準估算某幾個州的少數選票勝出,可以造成集體勝出。<br /><br />這就是「很不簡單的能力」了雲程的雙魚鏡https://www.blogger.com/profile/09190413865449296972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6598697187247731682.post-88872697039226596802016-11-12T20:18:21.787+08:002016-11-12T20:18:21.787+08:00俺來事後聰明一下:
幾個傳統民主黨的鐵票州變天(五大湖旁邊的幾個州),這就讓希拉蕊掛了,Penns...俺來事後聰明一下:<br /><br />幾個傳統民主黨的鐵票州變天(五大湖旁邊的幾個州),這就讓希拉蕊掛了,Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio,Wisconsin. 這些州傳統上都不可能共和黨贏的,卻意料之外完全垮了。<br /><br />那為何這些州翻臉?原因是這些州都是重工業州,工廠很多都關門,因為都轉到中國製造了。川普競選要打中國貿易,正好打中失業選民。這些州的大都選民就是老白男。<br />Ajin算命仙https://www.blogger.com/profile/16435731641381205835noreply@blogger.com